Heat at Hawks: game preview (Oct 28, 2026)

Wednesday, October 28, 2026

3PT Edge

Away · Heat · Won

MIA

Miami Heat

129

Finalmargin12

117

Home · Hawks

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

Biggest Lead

MIA +18

Q3 · 2:04

Biggest Run

ATL 10-0

Lead Changes

5 ties

Half

MIA 69 · ATL 56

MIA led at the break

Game Story

Auto-generated talking points from the box and play-by-play.

Insight 01

MIA won by 12.

Insight 02

MIA built the biggest lead at +18.

Insight 03

ATL had the biggest unanswered run (10-0).

Scouting report

Findings from the tape

Observations from this game's PBP graph traversal. Vs-season baselines tell you what the opponent forced or what the data shows shifted from the norm.

Strongest signals

Highest-signal findings across every category — sorted by how strongly the data deviates from baseline.

01
highScoring chainsOn MIA
Alexander-Walker got 12 of his 21 pts via catch-and-shoot (4 makes, 57% up 14 pp from season avg 43%).
2 from drives (4 pts) · 1 from pull-up jumpers (3 pts)
02
highScoring chainsOn ATL
Antetokounmpo got 12 of his 22 pts via cuts (6 makes, 55% up 19 pp from season avg 35%).
2 from putbacks (4 pts) · 1 from drives (2 pts)
03
medScoring chainsOn MIA
Flemings got 8 of his 21 pts via drives (4 makes, 38%).
3 from catch-and-shoot (8 pts) · 1 from other actions (3 pts)
04
medScoring chainsOn ATL
Wiggins got 9 of his 16 pts via catch-and-shoot (3 makes, 56% up 26 pp from season avg 30%).
1 from other actions (3 pts) · 1 from drives (2 pts)
05
lowTurnover outcomesOn ATL
ATL scored 13 pts off MIA's 14 turnovers (0.93 PPP allowed).
6 of 14 TOVs (43%) led to a make.

Quarter Flow

Per-quarter scoring and the running total.

MIAATL

MIA +9

MIA34

ATL25

Running34–25

MIA +4

MIA35

ATL31

Running69–56

ATL +1

MIA28

ATL29

Running97–85

Tied

MIA32

ATL32

Running129–117

Box by Period

FG · 3P · FT · REB · AST · TOV · paint points, per period. Bold marks the period edge.

Stat	Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
FG	MIA	— —	— —	— —	— —	— —
FG	ATL	— —	— —	— —	— —	— —
3P	MIA	— —	— —	— —	— —	— —
3P	ATL	— —	— —	— —	— —	— —
FT	MIA	1/2 50%	4/5 80%	6/8 75%	5/8 63%	16/23 70%
FT	ATL	2/3 67%	2/2 100%	4/6 67%	1/3 33%	9/14 64%
REB	MIA	13	14	14	11	52
REB	ATL	8	9	11	12	40
AST	MIA	9	9	9	9	36
AST	ATL	9	8	9	9	35
TOV	MIA	4	2	5	3	14
TOV	ATL	4	5	4	2	15
Paint PTS	MIA	0	0	0	0	0
Paint PTS	ATL	0	0	0	0	0

Game Flow

Margin over time — ATL ahead above the line, MIA below. Shaded bands are unanswered runs of 8+; ticks on the line mark lead changes (6) and ties (5).

ATL aheadMIA ahead

Rotations

Who was on the floor when. Hover over a stint for its minutes and the team's +/- while it lasted.

Play-by-Play

Every event, one period at a time. ▶ opens the NBA clip where one exists.

Player Box Score

Click a player for shots, quarter splits, and play-by-play.

Player	MIN	PTS ↓	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	FG	3P	+/-
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA	30:56	24	18	3	1	1	2	11/18	0/2	-6
Bam Adebayo MIA	32:45	24	9	3	3	0	3	8/16	0/1	+22
Andrew Wiggins MIA	29:01	18	2	2	0	2	1	6/9	4/7	+8
Pelle Larsson MIA	30:38	17	6	8	1	0	2	6/12	2/3	+12
Tim Hardaway Jr. MIA	21:33	14	2	1	0	2	1	6/10	2/3	-3
Bobby Portis Jr. MIA	23:03	11	9	4	2	1	1	5/11	1/5	+9
Davion Mitchell MIA	34:01	10	1	10	2	0	2	5/12	0/3	+8
Nikola Jović MIA	7:03	5	3	0	0	0	0	2/2	1/1	+4
Klay Thompson MIA	17:02	3	1	2	0	1	0	1/4	1/4	+2
Dru Smith MIA	13:59	3	1	3	0	0	2	1/2	0/0	+4
Myron Gardner MIA		0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0
Simone Fontecchio MIA		0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0
Nick Richards MIA		0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0
Ryan Conwell MIA		0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0

Four Factors

Shooting, getting to the line, offensive rebounding, protecting the ball.

eFG · FTAr · OREB · TOV

eFG% · Effective field goal percentage

58.9%

56.3%

FTA Rate · Free throws per shot attempt

24.0%

14.6%

OREB% · Offensive rebound rate

27.9%

18.4%

TOV% · Possessions ending in turnover

11.7%

12.8%

Efficiency

ORTGMIA edge

MIA

118.3

ATL

108.5

Offensive rating · pts per 100 poss

DRTGMIA edge

MIA

109.0

ATL

119.2

Defensive rating · pts allowed per 100

TS%MIA edge

MIA

60.8%

ATL

57.3%

True shooting — 3PT and FT included

Pace—

MIA

108.3

ATL

108.1

Possessions per 48 min

Where the points came from

Scoring channels — paint, transition, off mistakes, second chances.

Channel	MIA	ATL	Edge
In the paint	70	52	MIA +18
Fast break	21	13	MIA +8
Off turnovers	13	15	ATL +2
2nd chance	15	17	ATL +2

Player tracking

Movement and shot-creation breakdown.

Metric	MIA	ATL
Passes	302	314
Touches	407	401
Distance (mi)	17.8	18.3
Pull-up FG	16/32 (50%)	23/49 (47%)
Catch & Shoot FG	34/59 (58%)	23/45 (51%)

Possession DNAPossession-level flow (trigger → action → outcome) is only ingested for 2025-26-onward games.

How it ended

Shots, free throws and turnovers in the final 3:00 of Q4.

MIA 120–112 ATL → 129–117

2:58
MISSATL120–112 · MIA +8
MISS Okongwu 7' Floating Jump Shot
2:42
PTSMIA122–112 · MIA +10
Antetokounmpo 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Wiggins 1 AST)
2:21
MISSATL122–112 · MIA +10
MISS Alexander-Walker 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot
2:06
TOVMIA122–112 · MIA +10
Larsson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T15)
1:55
MISSATL122–112 · MIA +10
MISS Alexander-Walker 2' Driving Layup; Wiggins BLOCK (2 BLK)
1:54
PTSATL122–114 · MIA +8
Okongwu 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Daniels 7 AST)
1:54
MISSATL122–114 · MIA +8
MISS Okongwu Free Throw 1 of 1
1:39
PTSMIA125–114 · MIA +11
Larsson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 3 AST)
1:27
MISSATL125–114 · MIA +11
MISS Okongwu 25' 3PT Jump Shot
1:13
PTSMIA127–114 · MIA +13
Antetokounmpo 2' Cutting Layup Shot (24 PTS) (Wiggins 2 AST)
1:13
PTSMIA128–114 · MIA +14
Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)
1:07
MISSATL128–114 · MIA +14
MISS Alexander-Walker 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot
0:47
MISSMIA128–114 · MIA +14
MISS Antetokounmpo 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot
0:40
PTSATL128–117 · MIA +11
Flemings 25' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 11 AST)
0:39
MISSMIA128–117 · MIA +11
MISS Larsson Free Throw 1 of 2
0:39
PTSMIA129–117 · MIA +12
Larsson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)
0:30
MISSATL129–117 · MIA +12
MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot
0:05
TOVMIA129–117 · MIA +12
Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)