If they're out · SAC

Who gains without Hunter, Murray and Monk

With Hunter, Murray and Monk all three out (10 games like this since last season), Clifford played 37 minutes (usually 24) and took 7 more shots than usual; our estimate: 33 minutes (Likely).

10 games with all of them out since last season: Mar 14, Mar 15, Mar 17, Mar 29, Apr 3, Apr 12 and earlier. Their minutes when they play: Hunter 28, Murray 32, Monk 21.

Hunter has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Murray has missed 8 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.

Likely strong evidenceLean some evidenceWorth watching a tip, not a promise
Nique Clifford
G · 79 games since last season
Likely
Minutes24 → 33 +9
Shots8 → 13 +5
Fantasy pts18 → 28 +10
  • 37 minutes and 33 fantasy points a game in the 10 games he played with all of them out
  • came in for 33% of the times one of them left a game
  • +7 minutes in 43 games without Murray alone since last season
  • +6 minutes in 17 games without Monk alone since last season
Precious Achiuwa
F · 78 games since last season
Lean
Minutes24 → 28 +4
Shots9 → 12 +3
Fantasy pts24 → 30 +5
  • 28 minutes and 30 fantasy points a game in the 10 games he played with all of them out
  • came in for 32% of the times one of them left a game
  • +20 minutes in 21 games without Hunter alone since last season
  • +2 minutes in 40 games without Murray alone since last season
Maxime Raynaud
C · 74 games since last season
Lean
Minutes27 → 30 +4
Shots10 → 12 +2
Fantasy pts25 → 30 +5
  • 31 minutes and 32 fantasy points a game in the 10 games he played with all of them out
  • came in for 15% of the times one of them left a game
  • +7 minutes in 21 games without Hunter alone since last season
Everyone else · usual → tonight
How this works, and how often it's rightShow

We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.

We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).

Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.