If they're out · MIN

Who gains without Shannon, Edwards and Zikarsky

With Shannon, Edwards and Zikarsky all three out (4 games like this since last season), Hyland played 23 minutes (usually 16) and took 5 more shots than usual; our estimate: 20 minutes (Lean).

4 games with all of them out since last season: Jan 13, Jan 16, Jan 26, Mar 17. Their minutes when they play: Jr 15, Edwards 35, Zikarsky 8.

Edwards has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Zikarsky has missed 9 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.

Likely strong evidenceLean some evidenceWorth watching a tip, not a promise
Bones Hyland
G · 77 games since last season
Lean
Minutes16 → 20 +4
Shots7 → 10 +3
Fantasy pts16 → 22 +6
  • 23 minutes and 29 fantasy points a game in the 4 games he played with all of them out
  • came in for 29% of the times one of them left a game
  • +7 minutes in 16 games without Edwards alone since last season
  • −2 minutes in 62 games without Zikarsky alone since last season
Joan Beringer
F · 46 games since last season
Worth watching
Minutes9 → 12 +3
Shots3 → 4 +1
Fantasy pts10 → 13 +2
  • 15 minutes and 12 fantasy points a game in the 3 games he played with all of them out
  • −3 minutes in 22 games without Shannon alone since last season
Jaylen Clark
G · 73 games since last season
Worth watching
Minutes13 → 15 +3
Shots4 → 4 0
Fantasy pts9 → 11 +2
  • 18 minutes and 13 fantasy points a game in the 3 games he played with all of them out
  • came in for 17% of the times one of them left a game
  • +8 minutes in 58 games without Zikarsky alone since last season
  • +4 minutes in 11 games without Edwards alone since last season
Everyone else · usual → tonight
How this works, and how often it's rightShow

We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.

We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).

Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.