Who gains without Tate, Crawford and Adams
With Tate, Crawford and Adams all three out (15 games like this since last season (he played 14 of them)), Sheppard played 30 minutes (usually 26) and took 2 more shots than usual; our estimate: 29 minutes (Worth watching).
Crawford has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Adams has missed 9 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 30 minutes and 31 fantasy points a game in the 14 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 20% of the times one of them left a game
- +2 minutes in 30 games without Tate alone since last season
- 15 minutes and 15 fantasy points a game in the 15 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 19% of the times one of them left a game
- +4 minutes in 45 games without Adams alone since last season
- −4 minutes in 56 games without Crawford alone since last season
- 40 minutes and 39 fantasy points a game in the 15 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 18% of the times one of them left a game
- +5 minutes in 64 games without Crawford alone since last season
- +3 minutes in 32 games without Tate alone since last season
- Amen Thompson37 → 38 min · 15 → 15 shots39 → 41 fpts
- Tari Eason26 → 27 min · 10 → 11 shots24 → 25 fpts
- Marcus Smart22 → 21 min · 7 → 6 shots17 → 17 fpts
- Fred VanVleet30 → 31 min · 12 → 13 shots32 → 33 fpts
- Bruce Thornton3 → 3 min · 1 → 1 shots2 → 2 fpts
- Bogdan Bogdanović14 → 14 min · 5 → 5 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Jabari Smith Jr.35 → 37 min · 14 → 15 shots31 → 30 fpts
- Oscar Tshiebwe13 → 13 min · 2 → 2 shots14 → 13 fpts
- Alperen Sengun33 → 35 min · 18 → 18 shots44 → 43 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Amen Thompson37 min · 85 games
- Kevin Durant36 min · 84 games
- Jabari Smith Jr.35 min · 83 games
- Alperen Sengun33 min · 76 games
- Fred VanVleet30 min · 5 games
- Reed Sheppard26 min · 86 games
- Tari Eason26 min · 66 games
- Steven Adams22 min · 33 games
- Marcus Smart22 min · 3 games
- Bogdan Bogdanović14 min · 6 games
- Oscar Tshiebwe13 min · 2 games
- Clint Capela13 min · 80 games
- Jae'Sean Tate8 min · 50 games
- Isaiah Crawford6 min · 18 games
- Bruce Thornton3 min · 4 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Julian Phillips, Quadir Copeland. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.