Who gains without Castleton, Penda and Suggs
With Castleton, Penda and Suggs all three out (7 games like this since last season), Carter played 34 minutes (usually 29) and took 4 more shots than usual; our estimate: 32 minutes (Worth watching).
Castleton has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Penda has missed 7 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 34 minutes and 35 fantasy points a game in the 7 games he played with all of them out
- +7 minutes in 67 games without Castleton alone since last season
- +3 minutes in 20 games without Penda alone since last season
- 38 minutes and 42 fantasy points a game in the 4 games he played with all of them out
- +6 minutes in 10 games without Penda alone since last season
- +4 minutes in 5 games without Suggs alone since last season
- 17 minutes and 10 fantasy points a game in the 5 games he played with all of them out
- +10 minutes in 17 games without Suggs alone since last season
- +4 minutes in 44 games without Castleton alone since last season
- Desmond Bane34 → 35 min · 17 → 18 shots33 → 36 fpts
- Paolo Banchero35 → 36 min · 20 → 22 shots41 → 43 fpts
- Jonathan Isaac10 → 11 min · 3 → 3 shots9 → 11 fpts
- Anthony Black30 → 31 min · 14 → 14 shots29 → 31 fpts
- Jamal Cain12 → 13 min · 4 → 4 shots9 → 10 fpts
- Tristan da Silva25 → 27 min · 9 → 9 shots20 → 20 fptsWorth watching
- Alex Morales6 → 7 min · 2 → 1 shots3 → 3 fpts
- Nikola Vučević9 → 9 min · 3 → 3 shots8 → 8 fpts
- Jevon Carter20 → 21 min · 7 → 6 shots15 → 15 fpts
- Goga Bitadze15 → 15 min · 4 → 4 shots17 → 16 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Paolo Banchero35 min · 74 games
- Desmond Bane34 min · 87 games
- Franz Wagner31 min · 39 games
- Anthony Black30 min · 67 games
- Wendell Carter Jr.29 min · 83 games
- Jalen Suggs28 min · 60 games
- Tristan da Silva25 min · 82 games
- Jevon Carter20 min · 32 games
- Goga Bitadze15 min · 68 games
- Noah Penda13 min · 59 games
- Jamal Cain12 min · 45 games
- Jase Richardson12 min · 59 games
- Jonathan Isaac10 min · 52 games
- Nikola Vučević9 min · 5 games
- Alex Morales6 min · 7 games
- Colin Castleton5 min · 6 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: JD Davison, Izaiyah Nelson, Malaki Branham, Kevin Knox II. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.