Who gains without Wesley, Miller and Pickett
With Wesley, Miller and Pickett all three out (2 games like this since last season), Jackson played 26 minutes (usually 17) and took 1 more shot than usual; our estimate: 20 minutes (Worth watching).
Wesley has missed 4 of the team's last 5; Miller has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Pickett has missed 3 of the team's last 5, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 26 minutes and 28 fantasy points a game in the 2 games he played with all of them out
- +9 minutes in 6 games without Miller alone since last season
- +8 minutes in 3 games without Pickett alone since last season
- Brook Lopez22 → 24 min · 8 → 9 shots20 → 22 fpts
- Yanic Konan Niederhäuser10 → 11 min · 3 → 4 shots10 → 12 fpts
- Kris Dunn27 → 28 min · 6 → 6 shots21 → 22 fpts
- Derrick Jones Jr.27 → 28 min · 8 → 9 shots22 → 22 fpts
- Kobe Sanders20 → 20 min · 6 → 6 shots14 → 15 fpts
- Darius Garland30 → 31 min · 17 → 18 shots33 → 33 fpts
- Bradley Beal20 → 20 min · 9 → 9 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Baba Miller9 → 9 min · 1 → 1 shots8 → 8 fpts
- Nick Martinelli4 → 5 min · 2 → 2 shots4 → 4 fpts
- Jahmyl Telfort4 → 4 min · 1 → 1 shots1 → 1 fpts
- Keaton Wagler26 → 26 min · 13 → 13 shots26 → 26 fpts
- Rui Hachimura30 → 30 min · 14 → 14 shots21 → 21 fpts
- Gradey Dick16 → 16 min · 5 → 5 shots12 → 12 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Rui Hachimura30 min · 4 games
- Darius Garland30 min · 24 games
- Kris Dunn27 min · 87 games
- Derrick Jones Jr.27 min · 55 games
- Keaton Wagler26 min · 5 games
- Jordan Miller22 min · 60 games
- Brook Lopez22 min · 80 games
- Bradley Beal20 min · 6 games
- Kobe Sanders20 min · 73 games
- Isaiah Jackson17 min · 22 games
- Gradey Dick16 min · 5 games
- Yanic Konan Niederhäuser10 min · 41 games
- Baba Miller9 min · 4 games
- Blake Wesley5 min · 1 game
- Jalen Pickett5 min · 2 games
- Nick Martinelli4 min · 3 games
- Jahmyl Telfort4 min · 8 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Max Strus, Brandon Ingram. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.