Who gains without Strawther, Braun and Johnson
With Strawther, Braun and Johnson all three out (5 games like this since last season), Jones played 31 minutes (usually 22) and took 1 more shot than usual; our estimate: 29 minutes (Likely).
Strawther has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Johnson has missed 5 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 31 minutes and 17 fantasy points a game in the 5 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 27% of the times one of them left a game
- +10 minutes in 7 games without Johnson alone since last season
- +10 minutes in 23 games without Braun alone since last season
- 31 minutes and 33 fantasy points a game in the 4 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 19% of the times one of them left a game
- +4 minutes in 4 games without Johnson alone since last season
- −5 minutes in 3 games without Braun alone since last season
- 17 minutes and 10 fantasy points a game in the 4 games he played with all of them out
- +5 minutes in 10 games without Strawther alone since last season
- +3 minutes in 16 games without Braun alone since last season
- Jamal Murray36 → 36 min · 20 → 21 shots43 → 44 fpts
- Nikola Jokić35 → 36 min · 21 → 22 shots61 → 63 fpts
- DaRon Holmes II8 → 9 min · 3 → 3 shots7 → 8 fpts
- Tyus Jones9 → 10 min · 2 → 3 shots6 → 7 fpts
- Ryan Nembhard3 → 3 min · 2 → 3 shots7 → 8 fpts
- Trevon Brazile23 → 23 min · 7 → 7 shots20 → 21 fpts
- Marvin Bagley III12 → 12 min · 4 → 4 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Bryce Hopkins16 → 18 min · 3 → 3 shots6 → 7 fpts
- DeMar DeRozan26 → 26 min · 11 → 11 shots21 → 21 fpts
- Alpha Diallo22 → 23 min · 4 → 4 shots10 → 11 fpts
- Cam Whitmore7 → 8 min · 4 → 4 shots7 → 7 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Jamal Murray36 min · 80 games
- Nikola Jokić35 min · 70 games
- Christian Braun32 min · 49 games
- Cameron Johnson30 min · 56 games
- Aaron Gordon28 min · 41 games
- DeMar DeRozan26 min · 5 games
- Trevon Brazile23 min · 5 games
- Alpha Diallo22 min · 1 game
- Spencer Jones22 min · 64 games
- Bryce Hopkins16 min · 4 games
- Julian Strawther15 min · 57 games
- Marvin Bagley III12 min · 5 games
- Zeke Nnaji12 min · 53 games
- Tyus Jones9 min · 16 games
- DaRon Holmes II8 min · 27 games
- Cam Whitmore7 min · 2 games
- Ryan Nembhard3 min · 2 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Emanuel Miller, Coleman Hawkins, Dane Goodwin. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.