CourtLensFantasy
If they're out · MEM

Who gains without Hendricks, Pippen, Spencer and Edey

Hendricks, Pippen, Spencer and Edey sat together only once since last season, so this comes from who replaced each of them and how the team played without each one. Prosper usually plays 18 minutes; our estimate: 21 minutes (Worth watching).

3 games with all of them out since last season: Mar 28, Apr 10, Apr 12 (small sample). Their minutes when they play: Hendricks 21, Jr. 19, Spencer 23, Edey 22.

Hendricks has missed 6 of the team's last 10; Pippen has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Edey has missed 5 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.

Likely strong evidenceLean some evidenceWorth watching a tip, not a promise
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 55 games since last season
Worth watching
Minutes18 → 21 +3
Shots7 → 9 +1
Fantasy pts17 → 21 +4
  • 15 minutes and 20 fantasy points a game in the 1 game he played with all of them out
  • came in for 21% of the times one of them left a game
  • +6 minutes in 25 games without Edey alone since last season
  • −7 minutes in 27 games without Pippen alone since last season
Javon Small
G · 42 games since last season
Worth watching
Minutes20 → 23 +3
Shots8 → 9 +1
Fantasy pts21 → 24 +3
  • 21 minutes and 25 fantasy points a game in the 2 games he played with all of them out
  • came in for 28% of the times one of them left a game
  • −5 minutes in 17 games without Pippen alone since last season
  • −5 minutes in 19 games without Edey alone since last season
Jaylen Wells
F · 75 games since last season
Worth watching
Minutes26 → 29 +3
Shots11 → 12 +1
Fantasy pts21 → 23 +2
  • came in for 24% of the times one of them left a game
  • +3 minutes in 2 games without Hendricks alone since last season
Everyone else · usual → tonight
How this works, and how often it's rightShow

We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.

We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).

Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.

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