Who gains without Black, Isaac and Richardson
With Black, Isaac and Richardson all three out (8 games like this since last season (he played 7 of them)), Cain played 20 minutes (usually 12) and took 3 more shots than usual; our estimate: 18 minutes (Lean).
Isaac has missed 10 of the team's last 10, so most of his minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 20 minutes and 18 fantasy points a game in the 7 games he played with all of them out
- +11 minutes in 22 games without Isaac alone since last season
- +9 minutes in 15 games without Black alone since last season
- 28 minutes and 22 fantasy points a game in the 8 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 16% of the times one of them left a game
- +7 minutes in 18 games without Black alone since last season
- +3 minutes in 23 games without Richardson alone since last season
- 33 minutes and 32 fantasy points a game in the 7 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 27% of the times one of them left a game
- +5 minutes in 16 games without Black alone since last season
- +4 minutes in 26 games without Isaac alone since last season
- Paolo Banchero35 → 36 min · 20 → 20 shots41 → 44 fpts
- Desmond Bane34 → 35 min · 17 → 17 shots33 → 36 fpts
- Jevon Carter20 → 21 min · 7 → 8 shots15 → 16 fpts
- Wendell Carter Jr.29 → 30 min · 10 → 10 shots27 → 27 fpts
- Colin Castleton5 → 5 min · 2 → 2 shots6 → 6 fpts
- Nikola Vučević9 → 9 min · 3 → 3 shots8 → 9 fpts
- Alex Morales6 → 6 min · 2 → 2 shots3 → 3 fpts
- Noah Penda13 → 13 min · 4 → 3 shots11 → 11 fpts
- Goga Bitadze15 → 14 min · 4 → 4 shots17 → 16 fpts
- Franz Wagner31 → 28 min · 18 → 17 shots34 → 32 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Paolo Banchero35 min · 74 games
- Desmond Bane34 min · 87 games
- Franz Wagner31 min · 39 games
- Anthony Black30 min · 67 games
- Wendell Carter Jr.29 min · 83 games
- Jalen Suggs28 min · 60 games
- Tristan da Silva25 min · 82 games
- Jevon Carter20 min · 32 games
- Goga Bitadze15 min · 68 games
- Noah Penda13 min · 59 games
- Jamal Cain12 min · 45 games
- Jase Richardson12 min · 59 games
- Jonathan Isaac10 min · 52 games
- Nikola Vučević9 min · 5 games
- Alex Morales6 min · 7 games
- Colin Castleton5 min · 6 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: JD Davison, Izaiyah Nelson, Malaki Branham, Kevin Knox II. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.