Who gains without Clowney and Wolf
With Clowney and Wolf both out (7 games like this since last season (he played 6 of them)), Saraf played 30 minutes (usually 20) and took 6 more shots than usual; our estimate: 26 minutes (Lean).
Clowney has missed 5 of the team's last 10; Wolf has missed 8 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 30 minutes and 29 fantasy points a game in the 6 games he played with both out
- +3 minutes in 5 games without Wolf alone since last season
- +2 minutes in 3 games without Clowney alone since last season
- 30 minutes and 18 fantasy points a game in the 5 games he played with both out
- 25 minutes and 26 fantasy points a game in the 3 games he played with both out
- −7 minutes in 2 games without Wolf alone since last season
- Nolan Traore22 → 22 min · 9 → 11 shots18 → 21 fpts
- Day'Ron Sharpe19 → 21 min · 7 → 7 shots23 → 24 fpts
- Chaney Johnson20 → 21 min · 7 → 7 shots19 → 20 fpts
- Julius Randle33 → 34 min · 18 → 18 shots36 → 37 fpts
- Egor Dëmin25 → 26 min · 9 → 9 shots20 → 21 fpts
- Moritz Wagner18 → 18 min · 8 → 8 shots19 → 20 fpts
- Keon Ellis25 → 25 min · 6 → 6 shots19 → 19 fpts
- Grant Nelson9 → 9 min · 3 → 3 shots11 → 12 fpts
- Terance Mann24 → 24 min · 6 → 7 shots17 → 17 fpts
- Mikel Brown Jr.23 → 23 min · 12 → 12 shots20 → 20 fpts
- Michael Porter Jr.32 → 33 min · 20 → 20 shots39 → 39 fpts
- Joshua Jefferson4 → 4 min · 4 → 4 shots0 → 0 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Julius Randle33 min · 5 games
- Michael Porter Jr.32 min · 57 games
- Noah Clowney27 min · 71 games
- Keon Ellis25 min · 5 games
- Egor Dëmin25 min · 56 games
- Terance Mann24 min · 64 games
- Mikel Brown Jr.23 min · 4 games
- Nolan Traore22 min · 61 games
- Danny Wolf21 min · 59 games
- Drake Powell21 min · 65 games
- Ben Saraf20 min · 45 games
- Chaney Johnson20 min · 22 games
- Day'Ron Sharpe19 min · 67 games
- Moritz Wagner18 min · 5 games
- Josh Minott17 min · 20 games
- Grant Nelson9 min · 4 games
- Joshua Jefferson4 min · 1 game
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Ben Humrichous, Tyler Bilodeau. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.