Who gains without Clayton, Martin and Marshall
Clayton, Martin and Marshall haven't sat together since last season, so this comes from who replaced each of them and how the team played without each one. Washington usually plays 31 minutes; our estimate: 33 minutes (Worth watching).
Martin has missed 8 of the team's last 10; Marshall has missed 6 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- came in for 30% of the times one of them left a game
- +3 minutes in 4 games without Marshall alone since last season
- +3 minutes in 16 games without Martin alone since last season
- Cooper Flagg33 → 35 min · 19 → 22 shots41 → 46 fpts
- Moussa Cisse13 → 15 min · 4 → 5 shots15 → 18 fpts
- Daniel Gafford22 → 23 min · 7 → 8 shots25 → 27 fpts
- Dwight Powell14 → 16 min · 2 → 3 shots12 → 14 fpts
- John Poulakidas19 → 21 min · 7 → 8 shots15 → 16 fpts
- Kyrie Irving29 → 29 min · 16 → 16 shots36 → 37 fpts
- Dereck Lively II16 → 17 min · 3 → 3 shots18 → 19 fpts
- Sergio de Larrea12 → 12 min · 5 → 5 shots9 → 9 fpts
- Tobi Lawal3 → 3 min · 1 → 1 shots4 → 4 fpts
- Morez Johnson Jr.15 → 16 min · 6 → 6 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Zaccharie Risacher29 → 30 min · 10 → 10 shots29 → 29 fpts
- Jett Howard3 → 4 min · 2 → 2 shots2 → 2 fpts
- Marcus Sasser19 → 19 min · 6 → 6 shots13 → 13 fpts
- Max Christie29 → 29 min · 10 → 10 shots20 → 20 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Cooper Flagg33 min · 75 games
- P.J. Washington31 min · 62 games
- Zaccharie Risacher29 min · 6 games
- Naji Marshall29 min · 77 games
- Max Christie29 min · 83 games
- Kyrie Irving29 min · 5 games
- Daniel Gafford22 min · 61 games
- John Poulakidas19 min · 13 games
- Marcus Sasser19 min · 6 games
- Dereck Lively II16 min · 7 games
- Morez Johnson Jr.15 min · 6 games
- Caleb Martin15 min · 60 games
- Dwight Powell14 min · 63 games
- Moussa Cisse13 min · 42 games
- Sergio de Larrea12 min · 4 games
- Walter Clayton Jr.11 min · 5 games
- Jett Howard3 min · 2 games
- Tobi Lawal3 min · 3 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Seth Lundy, Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.