CourtLensFantasy
If they're out · PHI

Who gains without James, Rupert and Embiid

James, Rupert and Embiid sat together only once since last season, so this comes from who replaced each of them and how the team played without each one. Walker usually plays 12 minutes; our estimate: 16 minutes (Lean).

1 game with all of them out since last season: Oct 31 (small sample). Their minutes when they play: James 33, Rupert 2, Embiid 33.

Rupert has missed 8 of the team's last 9, so most of his minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.

Likely strong evidenceLean some evidenceWorth watching a tip, not a promise
Jabari Walker
F · 69 games since last season
Lean
Minutes12 → 16 +4
Shots4 → 6 +2
Fantasy pts10 → 14 +5
  • 19 minutes and 19 fantasy points a game in the 1 game he played with all of them out
  • +13 minutes in 2 games without James alone since last season
  • +8 minutes in 4 games without Rupert alone since last season
Dean Wade
F-C · 7 games since last season
Worth watching
Minutes26 → 29 +3
Shots3 → 4 0
Fantasy pts18 → 20 +2
  • 30 minutes and 33 fantasy points a game in the 1 game he played with all of them out
  • +7 minutes in 2 games without James alone since last season
  • +2 minutes in 5 games without Rupert alone since last season
Everyone else · usual → tonight
How this works, and how often it's rightShow

We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.

We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).

Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.

Pick players to sit

Tap a name to sit him or bring him back
Clear

New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Saint Thomas, Jameer Nelson Jr., Duke Miles. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.

Or pick a team