Who gains without Niederhäuser, Lopez and Miller
Niederhäuser, Lopez and Miller sat together only once since last season, so this comes from who replaced each of them and how the team played without each one. Jackson usually plays 17 minutes; our estimate: 21 minutes (Lean).
Niederhäuser has missed 10 of the team's last 10; Miller has missed 5 of the team's last 10, so most of their minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- came in for 41% of the times one of them left a game
- +16 minutes in 10 games without Niederhäuser alone since last season
- +9 minutes in 6 games without Miller alone since last season
- 17 minutes and 11 fantasy points a game in the 3 games he played with all of them out
- came in for 16% of the times one of them left a game
- −3 minutes in 16 games without Miller alone since last season
- Kris Dunn27 → 29 min · 6 → 7 shots21 → 23 fpts
- Derrick Jones Jr.27 → 29 min · 8 → 9 shots22 → 23 fpts
- Darius Garland30 → 30 min · 17 → 18 shots33 → 33 fpts
- Bradley Beal20 → 20 min · 9 → 9 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Baba Miller9 → 9 min · 1 → 1 shots8 → 8 fpts
- Jalen Pickett5 → 5 min · 2 → 2 shots6 → 7 fpts
- Nick Martinelli4 → 5 min · 2 → 2 shots4 → 4 fpts
- Blake Wesley5 → 5 min · 4 → 4 shots5 → 5 fpts
- Jahmyl Telfort4 → 4 min · 1 → 1 shots1 → 1 fpts
- Gradey Dick16 → 16 min · 5 → 5 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Keaton Wagler26 → 26 min · 13 → 13 shots26 → 26 fpts
- Rui Hachimura30 → 30 min · 14 → 14 shots21 → 21 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Rui Hachimura30 min · 4 games
- Darius Garland30 min · 24 games
- Kris Dunn27 min · 87 games
- Derrick Jones Jr.27 min · 55 games
- Keaton Wagler26 min · 5 games
- Jordan Miller22 min · 60 games
- Brook Lopez22 min · 80 games
- Bradley Beal20 min · 6 games
- Kobe Sanders20 min · 73 games
- Isaiah Jackson17 min · 22 games
- Gradey Dick16 min · 5 games
- Yanic Konan Niederhäuser10 min · 41 games
- Baba Miller9 min · 4 games
- Blake Wesley5 min · 1 game
- Jalen Pickett5 min · 2 games
- Nick Martinelli4 min · 3 games
- Jahmyl Telfort4 min · 8 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Max Strus, Brandon Ingram. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.