Who gains without Wiggins and Goldin
With Wiggins and Goldin both out (10 games like this since last season (he played 9 of them)), Larsson played 32 minutes (usually 27) and took 3 more shots than usual; our estimate: 31 minutes (Lean).
Goldin has missed 6 of the team's last 10, so most of his minutes are already in everyone's recent numbers.
- 32 minutes and 28 fantasy points a game in the 9 games he played with both out
- came in for 30% of the times one of them left a game
- +7 minutes in 11 games without Wiggins alone since last season
- −3 minutes in 43 games without Goldin alone since last season
- 35 minutes and 45 fantasy points a game in the 10 games he played with both out
- +4 minutes in 12 games without Wiggins alone since last season
- 17 minutes and 14 fantasy points a game in the 4 games he played with both out
- +11 minutes in 5 games without Wiggins alone since last season
- −8 minutes in 14 games without Goldin alone since last season
- Simone Fontecchio16 → 21 min · 7 → 9 shots15 → 18 fptsLean
- Myron Gardner9 → 11 min · 3 → 3 shots9 → 11 fptsWorth watching
- Davion Mitchell29 → 29 min · 8 → 9 shots25 → 26 fpts
- Giannis Antetokounmpo31 → 32 min · 23 → 23 shots53 → 53 fpts
- Bobby Portis Jr.23 → 23 min · 9 → 10 shots25 → 26 fpts
- Klay Thompson21 → 21 min · 9 → 9 shots14 → 15 fpts
- Ryan Conwell4 → 4 min · 2 → 2 shots4 → 4 fpts
- Tim Hardaway Jr.18 → 18 min · 7 → 7 shots12 → 12 fpts
- Nick Richards3 → 3 min · 1 → 1 shots3 → 3 fpts
- Dru Smith16 → 16 min · 5 → 5 shots16 → 15 fpts
- Nikola Jović17 → 14 min · 7 → 6 shots15 → 12 fpts
How this works, and how often it's rightShowHide
We start from each teammate's recent minutes, shots and fantasy points since last season, then hand out the minutes the missing players have been playing: mostly to whoever came in when each of them left a game, and to whoever played more when each one sat on his own, with a small nudge toward the same position. Minutes a player already lost while someone was out are not counted twice. Shots move with how often each teammate finished plays when none of the missing players were on the floor. When the exact group has sat together 4 or more times, those games count too.
We checked it on 1,183 games in 2025-26 where a team had two or more rotation players out, using only games played before each one. Our minutes were off by 5.2 a player on average in games from February on, against 6.06 using season averages and 9.41 adding up each missing player's own "who gains" numbers. Fantasy points: off by 8.12, against 8.59 and 12.48. Our biggest predicted minutes gainer was one of the night's two biggest gainers 52% of the time (adding up single-player numbers: 37%).
Likely means 6 or more minutes over his usual: 79% of those players really did play at least 2 more. Lean (3.5 to 6 more): 65%. Worth watching (2 to 3.5 more): 52%. Blowouts, foul trouble and coaches' whims make any one night noisy.
Pick players to sit
Tap a name to sit him or bring him back- Bam Adebayo32 min · 79 games
- Giannis Antetokounmpo31 min · 6 games
- Andrew Wiggins30 min · 74 games
- Davion Mitchell29 min · 76 games
- Pelle Larsson27 min · 76 games
- Bobby Portis Jr.23 min · 6 games
- Klay Thompson21 min · 6 games
- Tim Hardaway Jr.18 min · 6 games
- Nikola Jović17 min · 52 games
- Simone Fontecchio16 min · 73 games
- Dru Smith16 min · 74 games
- Keshad Johnson9 min · 32 games
- Myron Gardner9 min · 48 games
- Ryan Conwell4 min · 4 games
- Vladislav Goldin3 min · 9 games
- Nick Richards3 min · 3 games
New to the team, no games with them in our sample yet: Kylor Kelley, Ian Schieffelin, Bez Mbeng, Tre Donaldson. They will take some of these minutes, and we can't say how many until they play.